NCAA College Basketball

Bracketology 2020 – NCAA Tournament


Tournament BracketWelcome to our Bracketology page! Here we plan to prep you for everything that will take place during March Madness! To come up with our bracketology predictions, we use a combination of variables including our own NCAA college basketball ratings, RPI, strength of schedule (SOS), and few other factors to come up with the Bracket Rating. As is customary with the NCAA tournament, we also include the automatic qualifiers which are the champions from the conference tournaments. If the conference champion hasn’t yet been determined, then the highest rated team is predicted to be the champion. All of the factors that we use are key indicators that are very good predictors of which teams will make the final tournament.

Note that below there are 68 teams that make the NCAA tournament, and the winners of each conference are automatically included in the tournament. Because there are four play-in games, there are 2 seed groups that will have more than 4 teams.

Early in the season (pre-January) a lot of the teams may appear to have some strange seedings. Before teams get into conference play, there is a lot of projection that needs to be done to seed the teams. As we get into January and February, the projections are slowly worked out of the equation and only actual results are used.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference.
# denotes first round play-in game

Updated on 3/12/2020 @ 10:00am ET.

Bracketology – NCAA Tournament – Bubble Teams

Last Four In First Four Out Next Four Out
Cincinnati
Xavier
Richmond
Wichita St
UCLA
Stanford
Texas
Memphis
Mississippi St
Northern Iowa
Purdue
Connecticut

The team listed at the top of the “Last Four In” is the most vulnerable to miss the tournament.

Bracketology – 2020 NCAA Tournament Seeding Predictions

Projected Seed Team Conf Record Bracket Rating SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds Kansas B12* 28-3 14.16 1.287 (6)
Baylor B12 26-4 12.08 1.110 (25)
Gonzaga WCC* 31-2 10.63 0.292 (104)
Dayton A10* 29-2 9.225 0.335 (100)
2 Seeds Florida St ACC* 26-5 8.945 0.885 (51)
San Diego St MWC 30-2 8.871 0.239 (108)
Creighton BE* 24-7 8.827 0.965 (37)
Villanova BE 24-7 8.706 1.252 (11)
3 Seeds Michigan St B10* 22-9 8.672 1.259 (9)
Duke ACC 25-6 8.670 0.928 (43)
Kentucky SEC* 25-6 8.322 0.790 (63)
Maryland B10 24-7 8.289 1.192 (17)
4 Seeds Seton Hall BE 21-9 8.176 1.247 (12)
Louisville ACC 24-7 8.065 0.871 (53)
Oregon P12* 24-7 8.024 0.979 (33)
Wisconsin B10 21-10 7.635 1.261 (8)
5 Seeds Ohio St B10 21-10 7.551 1.157 (23)
Butler BE 22-9 7.306 1.108 (26)
BYU WCC 24-8 7.233 0.597 (78)
Auburn SEC 25-6 6.717 0.861 (54)
6 Seeds Michigan B10 19-12 6.445 1.290 (5)
West Virginia B12 21-10 6.392 1.337 (1)
Penn St B10 21-10 6.265 1.027 (29)
Iowa B10 20-11 6.165 1.216 (15)
7 Seeds Virginia ACC 23-7 6.100 0.826 (58)
Illinois B10 21-10 6.067 0.928 (45)
Houston AAC* 23-8 5.808 0.699 (71)
Arizona P12 21-11 5.709 0.950 (38)
8 Seeds Providence BE 19-12 5.614 1.015 (31)
St Mary’s CA WCC 26-8 5.551 0.439 (91)
LSU SEC 21-10 5.548 0.858 (55)
Marquette BE 18-12 5.242 1.177 (19)
9 Seeds Colorado P12 21-11 5.208 0.945 (39)
Oklahoma B12 19-12 5.066 1.324 (3)
Rutgers B10 20-11 4.985 0.912 (48)
USC P12 22-9 4.727 0.751 (67)
10 Seeds Florida SEC 19-12 4.685 1.076 (27)
Texas Tech B12 18-13 4.656 0.978 (34)
Indiana B10 20-12 4.432 1.149 (24)
Utah St MWC* 26-8 4.202 0.184 (111)
11 Seeds Arizona St P12 20-11 4.172 0.930 (42)
ETSU SC* 30-4 4.006 -0.56 (238)
NC State ACC 20-12 3.769 0.763 (64)
Wichita St AAC# 23-8 3.759 0.594 (80)
Richmond A10# 24-7 3.355 0.274 (106)
12 Seeds Xavier BE# 19-13 3.266 1.170 (20)
Cincinnati AAC# 20-10 3.243 0.792 (62)
Yale Ivy* 23-7 1.960 -0.27 (161)
SF Austin SLC* 28-3 1.582 -1.14 (338)
Akron MAC* 24-7 1.295 -0.29 (164)
13 Seeds Louisiana Tech CUSA* 22-8 1.231 -0.43 (201)
Vermont AEC* 26-7 1.127 -0.58 (245)
New Mexico St WAC* 25-6 0.877 -0.81 (295)
Liberty ASC* 30-4 0.230 -1.13 (337)
14 Seeds Hofstra CAA* 26-8 0.192 -0.57 (242)
Bradley MVC* 23-11 0.180 -0.12 (134)
Texas St SBC* 21-11 0.040 -0.26 (158)
Belmont OVC* 26-7 -0.04 -0.89 (312)
15 Seeds N Colorado BSC* 22-9 -0.07 -0.54 (230)
UC Irvine BWC* 21-11 -0.14 -0.48 (214)
N Dakota St SL* 25-8 -0.19 -0.66 (263)
Winthrop BSo* 24-10 -0.71 -0.92 (315)
16 Seeds N Kentucky HL* 23-9 -1.02 -0.74 (277)
Siena MAAC* 20-10 -1.26 -0.56 (237)
Boston Univ PL*# 21-13 -2.30 -0.58 (243)
Robert Morris NEC*# 20-14 -4.21 -0.77 (286)
Prairie View SWAC*# 19-13 -4.42 -1.08 (330)
NC Central MEAC*# 18-13 -5.97 -1.23 (346)

There are currently six teams that are ineligible for the 2020 tournament due to various reasons. California Baptist, Detroit, Florida A&M, Georgia Tech, Merrimack, and North Alabama.

Bracketology – 2020 NIT Tournament Bracket Predictions

For the hardcore college basketball fan, we have now introduced bracketology for the NIT tournament (otherwise known as NITology). The NIT takes the next 32 best teams that did not make the NCAA tournament.

All regular season champions that did not win their conference tournament automatically qualify for the National Invitation Tournament (NIT). It is important to note that early predictions will be flawed because of this rule. Typically, there are about seven to nine teams that win their conference in the regular season but don’t win their conference tournament and end up in the NIT. So, in early predictions, if your team is a seven or eight seed, then it is likely they won’t make the tournament because of these auto qualifiers.

* denotes that the team gets an automatic bid due to winning their conference in the regular season.

Seed Team Conf Record Bracket Rating SOS (Rank)
1 Seeds UCLA P12 19-12 3.130 0.694 (72)
Stanford P12 20-12 3.070 0.623 (76)
Texas B12 19-12 3.052 1.165 (22)
Memphis AAC 21-10 3.028 0.570 (83)
2 Seeds Mississippi St SEC 20-11 2.985 0.800 (59)
Northern Iowa MVC* 25-6 2.957 -0.13 (136)
Purdue B10 16-15 2.954 1.268 (7)
Connecticut AAC 19-12 2.949 0.596 (79)
3 Seeds Arkansas SEC 20-12 2.892 0.843 (56)
Oklahoma St B12 18-14 2.877 1.302 (4)
Rhode Island A10 21-9 2.763 0.570 (82)
Tulsa AAC 21-10 2.669 0.319 (101)
4 Seeds St Louis A10 23-8 2.330 0.118 (115)
South Carolina SEC 18-13 2.165 0.748 (68)
Syracuse ACC 18-14 2.041 0.798 (60)
Notre Dame ACC 20-12 2.010 0.571 (81)
5 Seeds Tennessee SEC 17-14 1.959 0.971 (35)
Furman SC 25-7 1.134 -0.49 (217)
SMU AAC 19-11 1.072 0.365 (99)
Duquesne A10 21-9 1.031 0.159 (112)
6 Seeds Boise St MWC 20-12 0.974 0.395 (96)
St John’s BE 17-15 0.960 0.887 (50)
UNC Greensboro SC 23-9 0.827 -0.42 (197)
Oregon St P12 18-13 0.786 0.608 (77)
7 Seeds VCU A10 18-13 0.642 0.443 (89)
North Texas CUSA* 20-11 0.603 -0.07 (128)
San Francisco WCC 22-12 0.538 0.316 (102)
Colgate PL* 25-9 -0.07 -0.66 (264)
8 Seeds Wright St HL* 25-7 -0.49 -0.95 (322)
Ark Little Rock SBC* 21-10 -0.55 -0.21 (149)
E Washington BSC* 23-8 -0.88 -0.42 (198)
Radford BSo* 21-11 -2.48 -0.83 (300)

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